Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 16.71% | 21.37% | 61.92% |
| Both teams to score 50.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.21% | 45.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.89% | 68.11% |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.33% | 40.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.74% | 77.26% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.76% | 14.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.01% | 41.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 5.21% 2-1 @ 4.57% 2-0 @ 2.34% 3-1 @ 1.37% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.89% Total : 16.71% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 0-0 @ 5.79% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.36% | 0-1 @ 11.28% 0-2 @ 11% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-3 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 6.43% 0-4 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.89% 2-4 @ 1.41% 0-5 @ 1.36% 1-5 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.65% Total : 61.91% |