Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 41.24% | 27.16% | 31.6% |
| Both teams to score 49.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.31% | 55.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.16% | 76.84% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% | 26.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.2% | 61.8% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% | 32.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.98% | 69.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.24% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.64% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.6% |