MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 14:31:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Grimsby Town
National League | Gameweek 16
Nov 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
Southend United

Grimsby Town
1 - 0
Southend

Taylor (3')
McAtee (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ferguson (77'), Egbri (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's National League clash between Grimsby Town and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Grimsby Town play host to Southend United on Friday evening knowing that they will move joint-top of the National League standings with a victory. Meanwhile, 20th-placed Southend make the trip to Blundell Park looking for a second win in three games, a result which would move them clear of the bottom three.

Match preview

There was a time not so long ago when Grimsby appeared to be in cruise control at this level, collecting 25 points from a possible 30 from September 4 onwards. However, a 1-0 defeat at lowly Wealdstone upset the applecart at Blundell Park, and Paul Hurst's side have since lost three more matches in all competitions. As well as three successive setbacks in the National League, Grimsby also suffered a 1-0 defeat at home to Kidderminster Harriers in the FA Cup. Hurst has suggested that he has been unhappy with the performances of several players, demanding a response ahead of what feels like an important fixture. At a time when Grimsby have been competing at the right end of the table, Southend are battling to avoid a third successive relegation and even remain in existence. The appointment of club legend Kevin Maher has gone some way to lifting spirits at Roots Hall, but supporters remain pessimistic about a prolonged improved run. Some progress has been made in recent games, the 4-1 win over bottom-placed Dover Athletic an absolute necessity and Maher's men stayed competitive against Woking. Nevertheless, they are still just one point above the drop zone ahead of one of their toughest matches on paper, a less-than-ideal scenario when attempting to build momentum. Despite losing five of their seven away games this season, positives can be taken from shipping just 10 goals, the most recent 1-0 setback at high-flying Boreham Wood a consequence of being reduced to 10 men.
Grimsby Town National League form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
Grimsby Town form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
Southend United National League form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
Southend United form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Team News

Hurst must decide whether to give another opportunity to young winger Evan Khouri or hand a recall to Will Bapaga. The experienced Giles Coke may come back into the midfield, potentially as a replacement for Ben Fox. Ryan Taylor is expected to get the nod over Lenell John-Lewis in attack. Abu Ogogo remained as an unused substitute last time out, but the midfielder will be considered for a recall on Friday. Nathan Ralph is an alternative to Jack Bridge, but the rest of the side could stay the same. Grimsby Town possible starting lineup: McKeown; Efete, Waterfall, Towler, Revan; Coke, Hunt; Sousa, Clifton, Khouri; Taylor Southend United possible starting lineup: Arnold; Dimitriou, White, Hobson, Lopata; Brunt, Dunne, Phillips, Bridge; Dalby, Murphy

We said: Grimsby Town 3-1 Southend United

Given the form of their hosts, Southend will be confidence of causing an upset on the East Coast. However, we can only back the Mariners to return to winning ways, inflicting more misery on opponents who are under pressure to move clear of the drop zone.
Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 21.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawSouthend United
53.64%25.22%21.15%
Both teams to score 46.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.92%55.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.66%76.34%
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46%20.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95%53.05%
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.94%41.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.39%77.61%
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 53.63%
    Southend United 21.15%
    Draw 25.22%
Grimsby TownDrawSouthend United
1-0 @ 13.35%
2-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 53.63%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 8.43%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 7.51%
1-2 @ 5.29%
0-2 @ 3.34%
1-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.24%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 21.15%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Southend

Grimsby Town
88.9%
Draw
7.4%
Southend United
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Grimsby Town
0-0
Southend
Habergham (71'), Spokes (90+1')
McCormack (74'), White (75'), Demetriou (90+4')
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Southend
3-1
Grimsby Town
Taylor (1'), Clifford (57'), Halford (75')
Jackson Jr (45+4')
Hewitt (68'), Waterfall (73')
Waterfall (90+4')
May 7, 2005 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-1
Southend
Reddy (57')
Eastwood (70')
Prior (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Chiefs
@
Browns
6pm
Ravens
@
Giants
6pm
Jets
@
Jags
6pm
Cowboys
@
Panthers
6pm
Washington
@
Saints
6pm
Dolphins
@
Texans
6pm
Bengals
@
Titans
9.25pm
Colts
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Buccaneers
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Steelers
@
Eagles
9.25pm
Bills
@
Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet22152546252147
2York City22136344202445
3Forest Green RoversForest Green21136239172245
4Gateshead22125541271441
5Oldham AthleticOldham20117236191740
6AltrinchamAltrincham229763628834
7Yeovil TownYeovil2210482723434
8Halifax TownHalifax229762522334
9Rochdale2010372819933
10Solihull MoorsSolihull229583835332
11Sutton UnitedSutton229582927232
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool227962424030
13Eastleigh217862928129
14Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red217773526928
15Southend UnitedSouthend226972424027
16Tamworth207582334-1126
17Aldershot TownAldershot2257103139-822
18Fylde2264122743-1622
19Woking2256111932-1321
20WealdstoneWealdstone214892432-820
21Braintree TownBraintree2255121931-1220
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2255122744-1720
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2216151650-349


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!