National League | Gameweek 16

Nov 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Grimsby Town
1 - 0
Southend

Taylor (3')
McAtee (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ferguson (77'), Egbri (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's National League clash between Grimsby Town and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 21.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Southend United
53.64%	25.22%	21.15%

Both teams to score 46.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.92%

55.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.66%

76.34%

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46%

20.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.95%

53.05%

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.94%

41.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.39%

77.61%

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 53.63%

Southend United 21.15%

Draw 25.22%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 13.35% 2-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.4% Total : 53.63%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 7.51% 1-2 @ 5.29% 0-2 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.21% Total : 21.15%