Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Southend United |
53.64% | 25.22% | 21.15% |
Both teams to score 46.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.92% | 55.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.66% | 76.34% |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.46% | 20.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.95% | 53.05% |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.94% | 41.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.39% | 77.61% |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 13.35% 2-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.4% Total : 53.63% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.51% 1-2 @ 5.29% 0-2 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.21% Total : 21.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 45 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 103 | 63 | 40 | 95 |
2 | Barnet | 45 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 87 | 59 | 28 | 83 |
3 | Bromley | 45 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 72 | 47 | 25 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 83 | 59 | 24 | 74 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 45 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 70 | 62 | 8 | 73 |
6 | Gateshead | 45 | 21 | 9 | 15 | 86 | 63 | 23 | 72 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 68 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 20 | 8 | 17 | 71 | 80 | -9 | 68 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 69 | 43 | 26 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 45 | 15 | 18 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 67 | 63 | 4 | 59 |
12 | Eastleigh | 45 | 16 | 11 | 18 | 73 | 84 | -11 | 59 |
13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 58 | 64 | -6 | 58 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 66 | 79 | -13 | 57 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 45 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 66 | 60 | 6 | 55 |
16 | Fylde | 45 | 15 | 10 | 20 | 74 | 79 | -5 | 55 |
17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 53 |
18 | York City | 45 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 53 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 53 |
20 | Woking | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 52 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 45 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 51 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 45 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 45 | 12 | 9 | 24 | 51 | 81 | -30 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 45 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 54 | 93 | -39 | 33 |
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