Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 68%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 12.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Weymouth |
| 68% | 19.02% | 12.98% |
| Both teams to score 49.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.89% | 43.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.49% | 65.51% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.35% | 11.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.29% | 36.71% |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.77% | 44.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.69% | 80.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Weymouth |
| 2-0 @ 11.9% 1-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 6.96% 4-0 @ 4.59% 4-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.84% 5-0 @ 1.97% 5-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.53% Total : 67.99% | 1-1 @ 9.04% 0-0 @ 5.16% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.86% Total : 19.02% | 0-1 @ 4.21% 1-2 @ 3.69% 0-2 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.08% 1-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.29% Total : 12.98% |