Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 37.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Weymouth |
| 37.93% | 23.66% | 38.41% |
| Both teams to score 62.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.82% | 39.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.49% | 61.51% |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% | 20.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.41% | 53.59% |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% | 20.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.78% | 53.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Weymouth |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% 1-0 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.93% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 6.58% 0-0 @ 4.31% 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-1 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 5.37% 1-3 @ 4.42% 2-3 @ 3.46% 0-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.92% Total : 38.41% |