Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
| 49.92% | 24.98% | 25.1% |
| Both teams to score 51.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.45% | 50.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.53% | 72.46% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% | 20.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.39% | 52.61% |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.2% | 34.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.47% | 71.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 8.99% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.91% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.44% 1-2 @ 6.27% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.11% Total : 25.1% |