Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 68.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for King's Lynn Town had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a King's Lynn Town win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
68.69% | 17.89% | 13.42% |
Both teams to score 54.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.32% | 36.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.16% | 58.84% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.3% | 9.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.67% | 32.33% |
King's Lynn Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.58% | 39.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.88% | 76.12% |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 8.92% 3-0 @ 8.09% 3-1 @ 7.54% 4-0 @ 4.72% 4-1 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 3.51% 5-0 @ 2.2% 5-1 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 2.05% 5-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 4.16% Total : 68.68% | 1-1 @ 8.31% 2-2 @ 4.51% 0-0 @ 3.82% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.89% | 1-2 @ 3.87% 0-1 @ 3.56% 0-2 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.4% 1-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.74% Total : 13.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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