Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 48.02% | 25.68% | 26.3% |
| Both teams to score 50.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.55% | 52.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.88% | 74.13% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% | 21.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.92% | 55.08% |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.18% | 34.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.44% | 71.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.28% Total : 48.02% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.03% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.12% Total : 26.3% |