| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
| 8 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 44 | 27 | 73 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Yeovil Town | 44 | -3 | 59 |
| 13 | Southend United | 44 | -16 | 58 |
| 14 | Altrincham | 44 | -8 | 55 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Southend United |
| 46.48% | 25.96% | 27.55% |
| Both teams to score 51.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.23% | 52.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.6% | 74.4% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% | 22.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.67% | 56.32% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.02% | 33.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.34% | 70.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 8.48% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.1% Total : 46.48% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.55% |