| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Southend United | 44 | -16 | 58 |
| 14 | Altrincham | 44 | -8 | 55 |
| 15 | Woking | 44 | -2 | 53 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
| 8 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 44 | 27 | 73 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 25.51% | 24.28% | 50.21% |
| Both teams to score 54.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.7% | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.47% | 69.53% |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.29% | 32.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.74% | 69.27% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% | 18.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.66% | 50.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 6.9% 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 3.85% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.5% Total : 25.51% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-2 @ 8.58% 1-3 @ 5.33% 0-3 @ 4.77% 2-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 2.22% 0-4 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.21% Total : 50.21% |