| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Halifax Town | 44 | 27 | 84 |
| 5 | Notts County | 44 | 29 | 82 |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
| 8 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 44 | 27 | 73 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 42.47% | 25.38% | 32.14% |
| Both teams to score 55.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.74% | 48.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.59% | 70.4% |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% | 22.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.74% | 56.26% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% | 28.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.88% | 64.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.47% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 8.09% 1-2 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.14% |