National League | Gameweek 45

May 7, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Plainmoor

Torquay Utd
2 - 0
Chesterfield

Duke-McKenna (70'), Little (81' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

King (37'), Rowe (72'), Mandeville (90+1')

Coverage of the National League clash between Torquay United and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

Last Six:

Last Game: Southend 1-1 Torquay Utd
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Bromley	44	8	67
11	Torquay United	44	12	66
12	Yeovil Town	44	-3	59

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result
Torquay United	Draw	Chesterfield
39.21%	26.25%	34.53%

Both teams to score 53.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.57%

51.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.76%

73.24%

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.29%

25.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.37%

60.63%

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.58%

28.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.83%

64.17%

Score Analysis

Torquay United 39.21%

Chesterfield 34.53%

Draw 26.25%

Torquay United	Draw	Chesterfield
1-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.21%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.19% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.78% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.53%