National League | Gameweek 39

Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK

Plainmoor

Torquay Utd
5 - 1
Notts County

Little (11', 90+5'), Lemonheigh-Evans (14', 77', 85')
Wynter (27'), Wright (43'), Lapslie (63'), MacDonald (71'), Moxey (76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Wootton (74')
Arter (24'), Lacey (60')

Coverage of the National League clash between Torquay United and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

Last Six:

Last Game: Southend 1-1 Torquay Utd
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Bromley	44	8	67
11	Torquay United	44	12	66
12	Yeovil Town	44	-3	59

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result
Torquay United	Draw	Notts County
44.92%	25.77%	29.31%

Both teams to score 52.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.94%

51.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.08%

72.92%

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.32%

22.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.68%

56.33%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.26%

31.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.83%

68.17%

Score Analysis

Torquay United 44.92%

Notts County 29.31%

Draw 25.76%

Torquay United	Draw	Notts County
1-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.92%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.2% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.26% 1-2 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.31%