Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.