| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Halifax Town | 44 | 27 | 84 |
| 5 | Notts County | 44 | 29 | 82 |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Notts County | 44 | 29 | 82 |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 47.25% | 24.6% | 28.15% |
| Both teams to score 55.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.26% | 46.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31% | 69% |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% | 19.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.04% | 51.96% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% | 30.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.45% | 66.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 5.06% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.93% Total : 47.25% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.19% 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 4.28% 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.15% |