National League | Gameweek 44

May 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Meadow Lane

Notts County
1 - 0
Dover Athletic

Rodrigues (17')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's National League clash between Notts County and Dover Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dover Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Weymouth
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	King's Lynn Town	44	-32	34
22	Weymouth	44	-48	28
23	Dover Athletic	44	-64	1

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 86.8%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 4.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Dover Athletic
86.8%	8.66%	4.53%

Both teams to score 51.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.62%

20.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

61.34%

38.66%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.93%

3.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.25%

13.74%

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.49%

46.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.88%

82.11%

Score Analysis

Notts County 86.8%

Dover Athletic 4.53%

Draw 8.66%

Notts County	Draw	Dover Athletic
3-0 @ 10.08% 4-0 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 8.67% 3-1 @ 7.72% 4-1 @ 6.73% 2-1 @ 6.64% 5-0 @ 6.14% 1-0 @ 4.97% 5-1 @ 4.7% 6-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.96% 6-1 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 2.58% 5-2 @ 1.8% 7-0 @ 1.78% 7-1 @ 1.36% 6-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 4.53% Total : 86.8%	1-1 @ 3.8% 2-2 @ 2.54% 0-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.89% Total : 8.66%	1-2 @ 1.46% 0-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.99% Total : 4.53%