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Eastleigh
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Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
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Notts County
National League | Gameweek 44
May 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane
Dover Athletic

Notts County
1 - 0
Dover Athletic

Rodrigues (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's National League clash between Notts County and Dover Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: Notts County 3-0 Dover Athletic

After previously beating Dover 3-0 just last week, we are predicting a similar scoreline again on Monday to see County strengthen their grip on a playoff spot. Despite being defeated at the weekend, the home side are in strong form lately, whilst it is difficult to see where the next point will come from for a poor visiting Dover side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 86.8%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 4.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawDover Athletic
86.8%8.66%4.53%
Both teams to score 51.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.62%20.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.34%38.66%
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.93%3.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.25%13.74%
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.49%46.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.88%82.11%
Score Analysis
    Notts County 86.8%
    Dover Athletic 4.53%
    Draw 8.66%
Notts CountyDrawDover Athletic
3-0 @ 10.08%
4-0 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 8.67%
3-1 @ 7.72%
4-1 @ 6.73%
2-1 @ 6.64%
5-0 @ 6.14%
1-0 @ 4.97%
5-1 @ 4.7%
6-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 2.96%
6-1 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 2.58%
5-2 @ 1.8%
7-0 @ 1.78%
7-1 @ 1.36%
6-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 86.8%
1-1 @ 3.8%
2-2 @ 2.54%
0-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 8.66%
1-2 @ 1.46%
0-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 4.53%

How you voted: Notts County vs Dover Athletic

Notts County
100%
Draw
0.0%
Dover Athletic
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Dover Athletic
0-3
Notts County

Hanson (16'), Judd (43'), Gyasi (55')
Judd (47')
Francis (60'), Roberts (83'), Rodrigues (90')
Rodrigues (30'), Chicksen (38'), Lacey (55')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Notts County
0-0
Dover Athletic

Rose (63'), Doyle (76')

Taylor (29'), Gobern (46'), Modeste (79'), Passley (99')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Dover Athletic
2-2
Notts County
Taylor (35'), Lokko (57')
Reason (7')
Rose (41' pen.), Dennis (90')
Wootton (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City21135343192444
2Barnet21142542241844
3Forest Green RoversForest Green20126238172142
4Gateshead21115537271038
5Oldham AthleticOldham19107233171637
6Rochdale19103628181033
7Sutton UnitedSutton219572926332
8AltrinchamAltrincham218763528731
9Solihull MoorsSolihull219483734331
10Yeovil TownYeovil219482422231
11Halifax TownHalifax218762119231
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool217862424029
13Eastleigh207762726128
14Southend UnitedSouthend216872424026
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red206773426825
16Tamworth197482233-1125
17Aldershot TownAldershot215792835-722
18Woking2156101928-921
19Fylde2163122541-1621
20WealdstoneWealdstone204882229-720
21Braintree TownBraintree2155111828-1020
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2154122643-1719
23Boston UnitedBoston2136121936-1715
24Ebbsfleet2116141546-319


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