National League | Gameweek 24

Apr 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Crabble Athletic Ground

Dover Athletic
0 - 3
Notts County

Hanson (16'), Judd (43'), Gyasi (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Francis (60'), Roberts (83'), Rodrigues (90')
Rodrigues (30'), Chicksen (38'), Lacey (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Dover Athletic and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dover Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Weymouth
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	King's Lynn Town	44	-32	34
22	Weymouth	44	-48	28
23	Dover Athletic	44	-64	1

101

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 13.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.68%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Notts County in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Notts County.

Result
Dover Athletic	Draw	Notts County
13.58%	20.67%	65.75%

Both teams to score 45.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.16%

48.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.06%

70.94%

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.13%

46.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.61%

82.39%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.96%

14.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.4%

41.6%

Score Analysis

Dover Athletic 13.58%

Notts County 65.74%

Draw 20.67%

Dover Athletic	Draw	Notts County
1-0 @ 4.99% 2-1 @ 3.71% 2-0 @ 1.89% 3-1 @ 0.94% 3-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.14% Total : 13.58%	1-1 @ 9.79% 0-0 @ 6.58% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.66% Total : 20.67%	0-1 @ 12.91% 0-2 @ 12.68% 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-3 @ 8.3% 1-3 @ 6.29% 0-4 @ 4.08% 1-4 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-5 @ 1.6% 1-5 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.42% Total : 65.74%