National League | Gameweek 43

Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK

Recreation Ground

Aldershot
3 - 1
Notts County

Ndjoli (8'), Willard (34'), Armstrong (88')
Kinsella (81'), Berkeley-Agyepong (86'), Armstrong (89')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Roberts (24' pen.)
Kelly-Evans (43'), Palmer (67'), Chicksen (78'), Francis (90+3')
Kelly-Evans (90+7')

Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Aldershot 1-3 Wealdstone
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Eastleigh	44	-22	46
20	Aldershot Town	44	-27	43
21	King's Lynn Town	44	-32	34

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Notts County
18.56%	21.87%	59.56%

Both teams to score 52.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.05%

44.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.69%

67.31%

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62%

38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.23%

74.77%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.3%

14.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.11%

42.89%

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 18.56%

Notts County 59.56%

Draw 21.87%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Notts County
1-0 @ 5.41% 2-1 @ 5.01% 2-0 @ 2.62% 3-1 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.56%	1-1 @ 10.36% 0-0 @ 5.59% 2-2 @ 4.81% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.87%	0-1 @ 10.71% 0-2 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 6.35% 0-4 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 3.07% 1-4 @ 3.04% 2-4 @ 1.47% 0-5 @ 1.21% 1-5 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.64% Total : 59.56%