National League | Gameweek 46

May 15, 2022 at 3pm UK

York Road

Maidenhead
0 - 1
Notts County

Barratt (30'), Massey (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Roberts (72' pen.)
Wootton (54'), Roberts (60'), O'Brien (76'), Richardson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's National League clash between Maidenhead United and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Maidenhead United	Draw	Notts County
30.94%	24.05%	45.01%

Both teams to score 59.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.27%

42.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.87%

65.13%

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.57%

26.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.4%

61.6%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.81%

19.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.14%

50.86%

Score Analysis

Maidenhead United 30.94%

Notts County 45.01%

Draw 24.05%

Maidenhead United	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 7.41% 1-0 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.94%	1-1 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.05%	1-2 @ 9.2% 0-1 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 5.06% 0-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.37% 1-4 @ 2.09% 0-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.25% Total : 45.01%