| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
| 8 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 44 | 27 | 73 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Stockport County | 44 | 49 | 94 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 44 | 46 | 88 |
| 3 | Solihull Moors | 44 | 38 | 87 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stockport County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stockport County.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Stockport County |
| 30.11% | 25.01% | 44.87% |
| Both teams to score 55.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.53% | 47.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.32% | 69.68% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% | 29.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% | 65.32% |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% | 21.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.94% | 54.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 7.62% 2-1 @ 7.25% 2-0 @ 4.67% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.11% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.22% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 9.65% 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 7.49% 1-3 @ 4.75% 0-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 2.91% 1-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.56% Total : 44.87% |