Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 56.01%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 56.01% | 24.01% | 19.98% |
| Both teams to score 48.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.19% | 51.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.42% | 73.58% |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.65% | 18.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.53% | 49.47% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.57% | 40.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.96% | 77.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stockport County | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% 2-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 5.46% 4-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.24% Total : 56% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.82% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.72% 1-2 @ 5.16% 0-2 @ 3.04% 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.27% Total : 19.98% |