Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Solihull Moors | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 56.72% | 23.51% | 19.76% |
| Both teams to score 49.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.87% | 50.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.9% | 72.09% |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.53% | 17.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.05% | 47.94% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.31% | 39.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.63% | 76.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Solihull Moors | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 12.09% 2-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 5.67% 4-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.67% Total : 56.72% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.41% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.34% Total : 19.76% |