Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
| 37% | 25.92% | 37.08% |
| Both teams to score 54.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.2% | 49.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.2% | 71.8% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% | 26.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.74% | 61.26% |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.86% | 26.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.79% | 61.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 8.25% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.39% Total : 37% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 6.16% 1-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.08% |