Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Wrexham |
| 43.14% | 25.25% | 31.6% |
| Both teams to score 55.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.14% | 47.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.96% | 70.03% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% | 22.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.47% | 55.52% |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% | 28.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.68% | 64.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.14% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.32% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.92% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.6% |