Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Solihull Moors |
| 31.78% | 24.54% | 43.67% |
| Both teams to score 58.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.35% | 44.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.99% | 67.01% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% | 26.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.86% | 62.13% |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% | 20.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.94% | 53.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Solihull Moors |
| 2-1 @ 7.55% 1-0 @ 7.25% 2-0 @ 4.77% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.78% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-1 @ 8.73% 0-2 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 4.79% 0-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 3.15% 1-4 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.8% Total : 43.67% |