| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Wrexham | 44 | 46 | 88 |
| 3 | Solihull Moors | 44 | 38 | 87 |
| 4 | Halifax Town | 44 | 27 | 84 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
| 8 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 44 | 27 | 73 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Solihull Moors | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 46.42% ( | 25.18% ( | 28.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.92% ( | 49.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.84% ( | 71.15% ( |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.83% ( | 21.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.97% ( | 54.03% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( | 31.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.24% ( | 67.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Solihull Moors | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 4-2 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.41% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0-3 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.4% |