Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Stockport County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Stockport County |
| 33.03% | 24.4% | 42.56% |
| Both teams to score 59.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.42% | 43.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.03% | 65.97% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% | 25.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.58% | 60.41% |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% | 20.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% | 53.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 7.74% 1-0 @ 7.18% 2-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.03% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 8.96% 0-1 @ 8.32% 0-2 @ 6.57% 1-3 @ 4.72% 0-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.81% Total : 42.56% |