Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 37.84% | 25.15% | 37.01% |
| Both teams to score 57.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.66% | 46.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.37% | 68.63% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% | 24.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.57% | 58.43% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% | 24.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.94% | 59.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 8.43% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.01% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.84% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 5.93% 2-2 @ 5.9% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 0.97% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.88% Total : 37.01% |