Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Woking win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Woking win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Woking |
| 37.15% | 25.26% | 37.6% |
| Both teams to score 56.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.16% | 46.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.9% | 69.1% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% | 24.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.72% | 59.28% |
| Woking Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% | 24.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.06% | 58.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Woking |
| 1-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 5.91% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 0.96% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.84% Total : 37.15% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.05% 2-2 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 8.52% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 5.99% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 0.99% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.6% |