Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Torquay United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 50.48% | 23.24% | 26.28% |
| Both teams to score 58.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.98% | 42.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.57% | 64.42% |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.23% | 16.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.29% | 46.71% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% | 29.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.73% | 65.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% 1-0 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 5.72% 3-0 @ 4.66% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.24% Total : 50.48% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.23% | 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-1 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.3% Total : 26.28% |