| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Woking | 44 | -2 | 53 |
| 16 | Wealdstone | 44 | -14 | 53 |
| 17 | Maidenhead United | 44 | -19 | 51 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
| 8 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 44 | 27 | 73 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 19.51% | 23.34% | 57.16% |
| Both teams to score 49.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% | 49.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% | 71.76% |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% | 39.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.58% | 76.42% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.82% | 17.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.56% | 47.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 6.3% 2-1 @ 5.12% 2-0 @ 2.91% 3-1 @ 1.57% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.51% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 12.02% 0-2 @ 10.59% 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-3 @ 6.22% 1-3 @ 5.74% 0-4 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 2.53% 2-4 @ 1.17% 0-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.75% Total : 57.14% |