Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 36.29% | 24.56% | 39.16% |
| Both teams to score 59.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.37% | 43.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.98% | 66.02% |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% | 23.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.14% | 57.86% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% | 22.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.33% | 55.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% 1-0 @ 7.59% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.09% Total : 36.29% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-1 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 4.3% 2-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.16% |