Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 23.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 53.47% | 23.1% | 23.42% |
| Both teams to score 56.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.87% | 44.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.49% | 66.5% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.54% | 16.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.84% | 46.16% |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.25% | 32.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.69% | 69.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 5.89% 3-0 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.25% Total : 53.47% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 5.47% 0-0 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-1 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.44% Total : 23.42% |