Chesterfield

2 - 3

Notts County

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.