Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 53.84% | 23.34% | 22.82% |
| Both teams to score 54.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.18% | 45.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.87% | 68.13% |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% | 16.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.98% | 47.02% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% | 34.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.08% | 70.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 9.14% 3-1 @ 5.8% 3-0 @ 5.41% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.57% 4-0 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.84% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 5.8% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 6.22% 1-2 @ 5.92% 0-2 @ 3.33% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.16% Total : 22.82% |