National League | Gameweek 11

Nov 17, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Altrincham
3 - 2
Chesterfield

Adarabioyo (29'), Hancock (62' pen., 89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Boden (13'), Cropper (63')
Maguire (36'), Yarney (61')

Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and Chesterfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.

Result
Altrincham	Draw	Chesterfield
48.65%	24.11%	27.24%

Both teams to score 56.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.78%

45.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.44%

67.56%

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.32%

18.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.97%

50.03%

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.75%

30.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.58%

66.42%

Score Analysis

Altrincham 48.65%

Chesterfield 27.24%

Draw 24.11%

Altrincham	Draw	Chesterfield
2-1 @ 9.51% 1-0 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-0 @ 4.45% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.34% Total : 48.65%	1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 5.69% 0-0 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.11%	1-2 @ 6.78% 0-1 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.09% Total : 27.24%