Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Notts County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Notts County |
| 27.16% | 25.76% | 47.08% |
| Both teams to score 51.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.79% | 52.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.09% | 73.91% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% | 33.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.33% | 70.67% |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.83% | 22.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.43% | 55.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Notts County |
| 1-0 @ 8.13% 2-1 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 4.39% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 1.79% 3-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.29% Total : 27.16% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 1% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 11.35% 1-2 @ 9.23% 0-2 @ 8.55% 1-3 @ 4.63% 0-3 @ 4.29% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.07% |