EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
6 - 0
Northampton

Harness (11', 16'), Leigh (26'), Burgess (58'), Edmundson (83'), Ladapo (90+1')
Ball (44')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Ipswich Town and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Barnsley
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portsmouth	6	8	14
2	Ipswich Town	6	8	14
3	Sheffield Wednesday	6	7	13

Northampton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Doncaster
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Stevenage	6	3	13
6	Northampton Town	6	2	11
7	Crewe Alexandra	6	2	11

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Northampton Town
45.17% ( 0.55)	26.05% ( -0)	28.77% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 51.57% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.53% (

-0.27)

52.47% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.86% (

-0.23)

74.14% (

0.22)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.84% (

0.14)

23.16% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.96% (

0.21)

57.04% (

-0.21)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.12% (

-0.55)

32.88% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.55% (

-0.62)

69.45% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 45.16%

Northampton Town 28.77%

Draw 26.05%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.16%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.77%