League One

League One | Gameweek 5

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
0 - 3
Ipswich

Bayliss (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

John-Jules (22'), Chaplin (52'), Jackson (90+2')
Morsy (16')

Coverage of the League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Ipswich Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-0 Derby
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Fleetwood Town	4	0	5
16	Shrewsbury Town	4	0	5
17	Forest Green Rovers	3	0	4

Ipswich Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Ipswich
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ipswich Town	4	5	10
2	Peterborough United	4	4	9
3	Portsmouth	4	5	8

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Ipswich Town
23.6% ( -0.51)	25.98% ( -0.07)	50.41% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 47.55% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.37% (

-0.15)

55.63% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.21% (

-0.13)

76.79% (

0.12)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.05% (

-0.56)

38.94% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.33% (

-0.53)

75.67% (

0.53)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

0.19)

22.12% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.5% (

0.28)

55.5% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 23.61%

Ipswich Town 50.4%

Draw 25.98%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Ipswich Town
1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.48% Total : 23.61%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 50.4%