League One

League One | Gameweek 4

Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
0 - 0
Derby

Bayliss (75'), Flanagan (77'), Nurse (88')

Knight (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Wycombe 1-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Charlton Athletic	3	0	4
15	Shrewsbury Town	3	0	4
16	Port Vale	3	-3	4

Derby County

Last Six:

Last Game: Derby 2-1 Barnsley
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Cambridge United	3	1	6
7	Derby County	3	1	6
8	Bolton Wanderers	3	3	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Derby County
29.4% ( -0.01)	27.44% ( 0)	43.16% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.81% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.53% (

-0.03)

57.47% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.72% (

-0.02)

78.27% (

0.02)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.95% (

-0.03)

35.05% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.21% (

-0.03)

71.79% (

0.03)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.61% (

-0.01)

26.39% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46% (

-0.01)

61.54% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 29.4%

Derby County 43.16%

Draw 27.43%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 29.4%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.07% Total : 43.16%