League One
Gameweek
4
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-
Tom Bayliss
75'
-
Tom Flanagan
77'
-
George Nurse
88'
-
Jason Knight
90'+2'
Shrewsbury Town vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result
Shrewsbury Town
29.4%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
27.44%
▲
(+0.01)
Derby County
43.16%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
47.81%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.53%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
57.47%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
21.72%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
78.27%
▲
(+0.03)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5
64.95%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
35.05%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
28.21%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
71.79%
▲
(+0.04)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
73.61%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
26.39%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
38.46%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
61.54%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Shrewsbury Town
29.4%
Draw
27.43%
Derby County
43.16%
Shrewsbury Town
1-0
@
9.7%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 29.4%
2-1 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 29.4%
Draw
1-1
@
12.91%
0-0 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.43%
0-0 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.43%
Derby County
0-1
@
12.32%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 43.16%
1-2 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 43.16%