League Two

League Two | Gameweek 7

Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

Sixfields

Northampton
3 - 1
Barrow

Hoskins (5'), Bowie (46'), Magloire (50')
Leonard (54'), Koiki (90+6'), Magloire (90+8'), Guthrie (90+9')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gordon (13')
Foley (26'), Gordon (45'), White (86'), Brough (90+8')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Barrow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Ipswich 6-0 Northampton
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Stevenage	6	3	13
6	Northampton Town	6	2	11
7	Crewe Alexandra	6	2	11

Barrow

Last Six:

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Barrow (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Leyton Orient	6	8	16
2	Barrow	6	4	15
3	Doncaster Rovers	6	4	14

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Barrow
46.64% ( 0.93)	26.86% ( -0.22)	26.5% ( -0.72)

Both teams to score 47.66% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.22% (

0.39)

56.78% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.28% (

0.31)

77.72% (

-0.32)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.66% (

0.63)

24.34% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.27% (

0.88)

58.73% (

-0.88)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.99% (

-0.38)

37.01% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.2% (

-0.38)

73.8% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 46.64%

Barrow 26.5%

Draw 26.86%

Northampton Town	Draw	Barrow
1-0 @ 12.72% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.46% Total : 46.64%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 26.5%