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AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Northampton Town

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 2
Northampton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Guthrie (27'), Towler (69' og.)
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawNorthampton Town
34.31% (0.067 0.07)28.01% (-0.041 -0.04)37.68% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.66% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.62% (0.15300000000001 0.15)58.37% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.02% (0.119 0.12)78.98% (-0.12 -0.12)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98% (0.121 0.12)32.02% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (0.139 0.14)68.48% (-0.14 -0.14)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.11% (0.058999999999997 0.06)29.89% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.01% (0.071999999999996 0.07)65.99% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 34.3%
    Northampton Town 37.67%
    Draw 28.01%
AFC WimbledonDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.3%
1-1 @ 13.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.57% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 11.55% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.2% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 37.67%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Northampton
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Horsfall (34'), Hoskins (85')
Hartigan (90+4')
Csoka (17'), Presley (34')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Northampton
Oshilaja (47')
Taylor (10')
Grimes (8' pen.), Crooks (62'), Powell (72')
Crooks (37'), Hoskins (66'), Turnbull (83'), Long (90')
Oct 14, 2017 3pm
Northampton
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Waters (37'), Moloney (52'), McWilliams (61'), O'Toole (88')
Forrester (61')
Barcham (35')