League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle3 - 3Rochdale
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Rochdale.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Bradford City | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Carlisle United | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 0 | 8 |
Last Game: Accrington 3-3 Rochdale (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 6 | -5 | 2 |
| 23 | Hartlepool United | 6 | -9 | 2 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 6 | -7 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Rochdale |
43.88% ( -0.56) | 26.93% ( -0.41) | 29.18% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 49.18% ( 1.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
