League Two

League Two | Gameweek 7

Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
3 - 3
Rochdale

Mellish (36'), Dennis (58'), Huntington (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Quigley (22', 53'), Rodney (51')
Quigley (69')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Bradford City	6	2	8
11	Carlisle United	5	1	8
12	AFC Wimbledon	6	0	8

Rochdale

Last Six:

Last Game: Accrington 3-3 Rochdale (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Crawley Town	6	-5	2
23	Hartlepool United	6	-9	2
24	Rochdale	6	-7	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Rochdale
43.88% ( -0.56)	26.93% ( -0.41)	29.18% ( 0.97)

Both teams to score 49.18% (

1.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.32% (

1.94)

55.67% (

-1.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.17% (

1.56)

76.82% (

-1.57)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.8% (

0.6)

25.2% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.07% (

0.82)

59.93% (

-0.82)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.75% (

1.8)

34.25% (

-1.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.05% (

1.88)

70.95% (

-1.88)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 43.88%

Rochdale 29.18%

Draw 26.92%

Carlisle United	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.7) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.88%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.67) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.26) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.18%