League Two | Gameweek 6
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle1 - 0Gillingham
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Gillingham.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Carlisle United | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 15 | Sutton United | 5 | -1 | 5 |
Last Game: Gillingham 0-0 Exeter (6-5 pen.)
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Newport County | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Gillingham | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 21 | Stockport County | 5 | -3 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Gillingham |
43.65% ( -0.05) | 28.87% ( 0.02) | 27.49% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.99% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
