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Championship header 2

League Two

Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 6
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Gillingham

Carlisle
1 - 0
Gillingham

Mellish (55')
Gibson (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tutonda (29'), O'Keefe (70')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two

Gillingham

Last Six:
Last Game: Gillingham 0-0 Exeter (6-5 pen.)
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawGillingham
43.65% (-0.055 -0.05)28.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)27.49% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 42.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.95% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)63.06% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.49% (-0.026 -0.03)82.51% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)28.77% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)64.62% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.35% (0.016999999999996 0.02)39.65% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02)76.33% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 43.65%
    Gillingham 27.48%
    Draw 28.85%
Carlisle UnitedDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 14.21%
2-0 @ 8.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 43.65%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 11.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.85%
0-1 @ 10.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 27.48%

Head to Head
Dec 19, 2017 7.45pm
Carlisle
3-1
Gillingham
Hope (7', 37'), Miller (93')
Liddle (73'), Lambe (86'), Miller (92')
Wagstaff (47')
Clare (25'), Byrne (57'), Parker (66'), Ehmer (77'), O'Neill (91')
Dec 2, 2017 3pm
Gillingham
1-1
Carlisle
O'Neill (5')
Clare (40')
Grainger (18' pen.)
Feb 8, 2014 3pm
Carlisle
1-2
Gillingham
Legge (90' og.)
Chimbonda (37'), Redmond (77')
Piggot (44'), McDonald (88')
Nov 2, 2013 3pm
Gillingham
1-0
Carlisle
Kedwell (63')
Legge (26')
Legge (82')

Livesey (10'), Amoo (53'), O'Hanlon (57')
Miller (79')
Feb 27, 2010 3pm
Carlisle
2-0
Gillingham
Harte (41', 52' pen.)