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Walsall
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK at JobServe Community Stadium
Colchester
1 - 1
Carlisle
Chilvers (19')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dennis (44')
Back (74'), Barclay (82')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Colchester United and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawCarlisle United
42.63% (1.285 1.29) 26.77% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 30.61% (-1.204 -1.2)
Both teams to score 50.37% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.51% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)54.49% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.16% (-0.064 -0.06)75.85% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (0.63200000000001 0.63)25.3% (-0.63 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93% (0.86 0.86)60.08% (-0.858 -0.86)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (-0.889 -0.89)32.58% (0.891 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89% (-1.011 -1.01)69.11% (1.012 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 42.62%
    Carlisle United 30.61%
    Draw 26.76%
Colchester UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.129 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.3 0.3)
3-1 @ 4% (0.129 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.199 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.068 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 42.62%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.24% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.199 -0.2)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.243 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.61%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Colchester
2-2
Carlisle
Smith (69'), Wright (74')
Chambers (70')
Patrick (51'), Sho-Silva (86')
Riley (33'), Roberts (41'), Mellish (65')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Colchester
2-1
Carlisle
Harriott (66' pen., 74')
Tchamadeu (90+2')
Mellish (29')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
3-2
Colchester
Alessandra (4'), Mellish (29'), Hayden (81')
Riley (22'), Mellish (61'), Guy (64')
Norris (44', 52')
Pell (34'), Harriott (61')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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