League Two

League Two | Gameweek 2

Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK

JobServe Community Stadium

Colchester
1 - 1
Carlisle

Chilvers (19')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dennis (44')
Back (74'), Barclay (82')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Colchester United and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

Last Six:

Last Game: Northampton 3-2 Colchester
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Doncaster Rovers	1	0	1
15	Colchester United	1	-1	0
16	Stockport County	1	-1	0

Carlisle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Stevenage	1	1	3
10	Carlisle United	1	1	3
11	Newport County	1	0	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Colchester United	Draw	Carlisle United
42.63% ( 1.29)	26.77% ( -0.08)	30.61% ( -1.2)

Both teams to score 50.37% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.51% (

-0.08)

54.49% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.16% (

-0.06)

75.85% (

0.07)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7% (

0.63)

25.3% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.93% (

0.86)

60.08% (

-0.86)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.43% (

-0.89)

32.58% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.89% (

-1.01)

69.11% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Colchester United 42.62%

Carlisle United 30.61%

Draw 26.76%

Colchester United	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.38% Total : 42.62%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.61%