Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT JobServe Community Stadium

Noah Chilvers 19'

Kristian Dennis 44'
Fin Back 74'
Ben Barclay 82'

Colchester United vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions

L
L
L
W
D
W

League Two

L
W
D
W
W
L

Last game

Jul 30, 2022 3.00pm

Northampton 3 - 2 Colchester

Goals scored

44

Top scorer

Noah Chilvers

Carlisle United

All competitions

W
L
W
L
W
L

League Two

W
L
W
L
W
L

Last game

Jul 30, 2022 3.00pm

Carlisle 1 - 0 Crawley

Goals scored

66

Top scorer

Kristian Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Colchester United 42.63% ▲ (+1.29)

Draw 26.77% ▼ (-0.08)

Carlisle United 30.61% ▼ (-1.21)

Both Teams to Score:

50.37% ▼ (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.51% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 2.5 54.49% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 3.5 24.16% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 3.5 75.85% ▲ (+0.07)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5 74.7% ▲ (+0.64)

Under 0.5 25.3% ▼ (-0.63)

Over 1.5 39.93% ▲ (+0.86)

Under 1.5 60.08% ▼ (-0.86)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 67.43% ▼ (-0.89)

Under 0.5 32.58% ▲ (+0.90)

Over 1.5 30.89% ▼ (-1.02)

Under 1.5 69.11% ▲ (+1.02)

Score analysis

Colchester United 42.62%

Draw 26.76%

Carlisle United 30.61%

Colchester United

1-0 @ 11.32% ▲ (+0.24)

2-1 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.13)

2-0 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.30)

3-1 @ 4% ▲ (+0.13)

3-0 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.20)

3-2 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)

4-1 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.07)

4-0 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.09)

Other @ 2.38%

Total : 42.62%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.7% ▼ (-0.05)

0-0 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.03)

2-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.05)

Other @ 0.92%

Total : 26.76%

Carlisle United

0-1 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.20)

1-2 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.21)

0-2 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.25)

1-3 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.15)

0-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.15)

2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.07)

Other @ 2.62%

Total : 30.61%

Head to Head

Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Tommy Smith 69'
Luke Chambers 70'
Tyreik Wright 74'

Joe Riley 33'
Mitchell Roberts 41'
Omari Patrick 51'
Jon Mellish 65'
Tobi Sho-Silva 86'

Aug 7, 2021 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Brunton Park

Jon Mellish 41'
Corey Whelan 58'

Mar 2, 2021 7.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT JobServe Community Stadium

Callum Harriott 66'
Callum Harriott 74'
Junior Tchamadeu 90'+2'

Jon Mellish 29'

Oct 17, 2020 3.00pm

3

2

HT : 2 1

FT Brunton Park

Lewis Alessandra 4'
Joe Riley 22'
Jon Mellish 29'
Jon Mellish 61'
Callum Guy 64'
Aaron Hayden 81'

Harry Pell 34'
Luke Norris 44'
Luke Norris 52'
Callum Harriott 61'

Mar 7, 2020 3.00pm

0

3

HT : 0 2

FT Brunton Park

Nick Anderton 49'

Kwame Poku 41'
Luke Norris 43'
Kwame Poku 59'

Dec 21, 2019 3.00pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT

Nathaniel Knight-Percival 26'
Callum Harriott 41'
Cohen Bramall 51'

Gethin Jones 28'
Stefan Scougall 64'

Form Data

Northampton 3 - 2 Colchester

Colchester 0 - 1 Millwall

Reading 2 - 0 Colchester

Hartlepool 0 - 2 Colchester

Colchester 2 - 2 Walsall

Newport 1 - 2 Colchester

Carlisle 1 - 0 Crawley

Bradford 2 - 0 Carlisle

Carlisle 2 - 1 Stevenage

Harrogate 3 - 0 Carlisle

Carlisle 1 - 0 Mansfield

Walsall 1 - 0 Carlisle