Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.