EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
0 - 0
Exeter

Ehmer (13')

Sweeney (20'), Stubbs (81')

Gillingham win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Gillingham and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

Last Six:

Last Game: Gillingham 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Newport County	5	-3	4
20	Gillingham	5	-6	4
21	Stockport County	5	-3	3

Exeter City

Last Six:

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Derby County	5	1	8
9	Exeter City	5	4	7
10	Cambridge United	5	-2	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Exeter City
29.56% ( 0.01)	25.98% ( 0.01)	44.46% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.27% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.22% (

-0.02)

51.78% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.45% (

-0.02)

73.55% (

0.02)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.06%

31.94% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.61% (

-0)

68.39% (

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.8% (

-0.02)

23.2% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.9% (

-0.03)

57.1% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 29.56%

Exeter City 44.46%

Draw 25.97%

Gillingham	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.56%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.46%