League One

League One | Gameweek 4

Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
3 - 1
Wycombe

Kite (22'), Collins (38'), Dieng (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Wheeler (50')
McCleary (45+1'), Scowen (59'), Forino-Joseph (73')

Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Wycombe Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

Last Six:

Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Accrington Stanley	3	1	5
11	Exeter City	3	3	4
12	Fleetwood Town	3	0	4

Wycombe Wanderers

Last Six:

Last Game: Wycombe 1-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Lincoln City	3	0	3
18	Wycombe Wanderers	3	-1	3
19	Barnsley	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Wycombe Wanderers
39.19% ( 0.02)	25.92% ( 0.01)	34.88% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 54.34% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.03% (

-0.06)

49.97% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.04% (

-0.05)

71.95% (

0.05)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

-0.01)

25.05% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.27% (

-0.02)

59.72% (

0.02)

Wycombe Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.5% (

-0.05)

27.5% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37% (

-0.06)

63% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 39.19%

Wycombe Wanderers 34.88%

Draw 25.92%

Exeter City	Draw	Wycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.19%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.88%