EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
3 - 3
Rochdale

McConville (51'), Lowe (55'), Sinclair (90+5' og.)

FT
(aet)

Ball (65'), Henderson (67'), Brierley (72')

Accrington win 4-3 on penalties

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Accrington Stanley and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

Last Six:

Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Exeter
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Bolton Wanderers	6	0	8
11	Accrington Stanley	5	1	7
12	Wycombe Wanderers	6	0	7

Rochdale

Last Six:

Last Game: Rochdale 1-1 Crawley
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Crawley Town	6	-5	2
23	Hartlepool United	6	-9	2
24	Rochdale	6	-7	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%).

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Rochdale
44.22% ( -1.67)	25.22% ( 0.05)	30.56% ( 1.62)

Both teams to score 55.24% (

0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.83% (

0.58)

48.17% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.67% (

0.53)

70.33% (

-0.52)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.22% (

-0.51)

21.78% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.03% (

-0.79)

54.97% (

0.8)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.61% (

1.44)

29.39% (

-1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.63% (

1.73)

65.38% (

-1.72)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 44.22%

Rochdale 30.56%

Draw 25.22%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 44.22%	1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.56%