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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Accrington Stanley

MK Dons
1 - 1
Accrington

Robson (30')
Johnson (61'), Lawrence (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McConville (78' pen.)
Astley (10'), Clark (43'), Hamilton (60'), McConville (68')
Coverage of the League One clash between MK Dons and Accrington Stanley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 12.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.21%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawAccrington Stanley
67.15% (0.285 0.28)20.28% (0.11 0.11)12.57% (-0.398 -0.4)
Both teams to score 44.11% (-1.44 -1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.59% (-1.325 -1.33)49.41% (1.325 1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (-1.202 -1.2)71.45% (1.202 1.2)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.21% (-0.325 -0.33)13.79% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.89% (-0.649 -0.65)41.11% (0.648 0.65)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.16% (-1.472 -1.47)48.83% (1.471 1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.16% (-1.078 -1.08)83.83% (1.077 1.08)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 67.14%
    Accrington Stanley 12.57%
    Draw 20.28%
MK DonsDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 13.34% (0.56 0.56)
2-0 @ 13.21% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.73% (0.16 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.147 -0.15)
4-0 @ 4.32% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.151 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 67.14%
1-1 @ 9.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.357 0.36)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.28%
0-1 @ 4.83% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.43% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.73% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 12.57%

Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
2-0
Accrington
Eisa (45'), O'Riley (85')
Darling (69'), Lewington (73'), Harvie (81'), Boateng (87')

Butcher (54'), Pell (60')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
3-2
Accrington
Jerome (6', 55'), O'Riley (90+2')
Charles (57'), Surman (62' og.)
Smyth (45'), Burgess (47'), Barclay (49'), Rodgers (67'), Morgan (80')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Accrington
2-1
MK Dons
Charles (8', 62')
Pritchard (43')
Morris (53')
Gladwin (20'), Kasumu (27'), Sorinola (49'), Harvie (81')
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0


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