League One

League One | Gameweek 4

Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
2 - 1
Port Vale

Johnson (34', 85')
Tucker (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Harrison (90+3')
Harrison (53')

Coverage of the League One clash between MK Dons and Port Vale.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

Last Six:

Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Burton Albion	3	-7	1
23	Cheltenham Town	3	-4	0
24	MK Dons	3	-5	0

Port Vale

Last Six:

Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Shrewsbury Town	3	0	4
16	Port Vale	3	-3	4
17	Lincoln City	3	0	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 21.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Port Vale
54.4% ( -0)	24.58% ( -0)	21.02% ( 0)

Both teams to score 48.44% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.15% (

0.01)

52.84% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.53% (

0.01)

74.46% (

-0.01)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.64%

19.36% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.85% (

51.14% (

-0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.07% (

0.01)

39.92% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.42% (

0.01)

76.58% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 54.39%

Port Vale 21.02%

Draw 24.58%

MK Dons	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 12.69% 2-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.9% Total : 54.39%	1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.58%	0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.02%